Höfundur
Tölvunarfræðingur. Starfa við bestun á sviði aðgerðar-greiningar.
Ýmsar hugleiðingar og vangaveltur um allt það sem mér finnst skipta máli. Ég tek oft þátt í erlendum blogg umræðum, til dæmis á icenews.is og mun stundum birta hér íslenskar þýðingar á ýmsum færslum þaðan.
Nżjustu fęrslur
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Gott aš sjį Lilja var meš kjark til aš lesa nżja IceSave frumvarpiš og mynda sér sķšan sķna eigin raunverulega skošun!
1.11.2009 | 13:51
Ķ Silfri Egils nśna rétt įšan kom Lilja Mósesdóttir fram og sagšist hafa įkvešiš aš styšja EKKI nżja IceSave frumvarpiš. Žetta er nįttśrulega stórfrétt sem mikiš mun verša fjallaš um nęstu daga. Žaš sem ég tók nś samt best eftir žarna ķ žęttinum, var eftirfarandi setning Lilju:
"Sķšan les ég frumvarpiš sem nśna liggur fyrir žinginu og ég get bara ekki samžykkt žetta"
Žess vęri óskandi aš fleiri žingmenn fęru nś aš dęmi hennar og raunverulega lęsu yfir nżja IceSave frumvarpiš.
Viš žurfum aš gera okkur fulla grein fyrir efnahagslegum afleišingum frumvarpsins, įšur en žaš er "sjįlfkrafa" samžykkt. Eins og ég hef fjallaš um hér ķ fyrri fęrslum hér, hér, hér, og hér, eru žvķ mišur margir stórir vankantar į nżja frumvarpinu eins og žaš var samiš.
Getur ekki samžykkt Icesave | |
Tilkynna um óvišeigandi tengingu viš frétt |
Meginflokkur: Stjórnmįl og samfélag | Aukaflokkar: Evrópumįl, Fjįrmįl, Utanrķkismįl/alžjóšamįl | Breytt s.d. kl. 14:05 | Facebook
« Sķšasta fęrsla | Nęsta fęrsla »
Eldri fęrslur
Tenglar
Mķnir tenglar
- Netvibes.com
- IceNews.is Fréttasķša į ensku meš lķflegum athugasemdum
- Island.is
- Indefence.is (áskorun) InDefence: Įskorun til forseta Ķslands
- InDefence.is (upprunaleg) Upprunalega InDefence sķšan - Icelanders are not terrorists
- Hvítbók Hvķtbók vefsķša
- Vald.org
Hruniš Okt 2008
- Darling-Mathiesen transcript The Darling-Mathiesen Conversation before Britain Used the Anti-Terrorism Legislation against Iceland
- BBC - Gordon Brown BBC: Brown condemns Iceland over banks - Oct 10, 2008
Rķkisstjórn Geirs Haarde
- Viðskiptaráðun. - 20. ág. 2008 Bréf frį višskiptarįšuneyti til fjįrmįlarįšuneytis Bretlands 20. įgśst 2009
- Viðskiptaráðun. - 5. okt. 2008 Bréf frį višskiptarįšuneyti til fjįrmįlarįšuneytis Bretlands 5. október 2008
- Brussel Guidelines Agreed Guidelines Reached on Deposit Guarantees - Nov 16, 2008
Rķkisstjórn Jóhönnu
- Jóhönna Sigurðardóttir Sókn til betra samfélags - 26 Sep. 2009
- Gylfi Magnússon - Júlí 2009 Greišslur vegna Icesave eftir Gylfa Magnśsson višskiptarįšherra
- Nordic loan terms Background information on Nordic loans to Iceland
- Icesave frumvarp greinagerð Greinargerš meš Icesave frumvarpi
Alžingi
- Stjórnarskrá Íslands Stjórnarrįš Ķslands - Stjórnarskrįin
- 98/1999 - Tryggingasjóður Act No 98/1999 on Deposit Guarantees and Investor- Compensation Scheme
- Alþingi - Icesave Upplżsingarefni um Icesave
- Aug 2009 - Icesave Guarantee Act on Icesave State Guarantee
- 96/2009 - Ríkisábyrgð Įbyrgjast lįn Tryggingarsjóšs innstęšueigenda og fjįrfesta
- Ólafur Ragnar - 5. Jan 2010 Declaration of President Ólafur Ragnar Grķmsson - 5. Jan 2010
- 21/1991 - Bankruptcy Act Ministry of Justice - Act on Bankruptcy, etc. 1991, No. 21
- Rannsóknarnefnd Alþingis Skżrsla Rannsóknarnefndar Alžingis
EFTA/EU
- EFTA (ESA) Opinion EFTA Surveillance Authority (ESA) preliminary opinion
- EFTA/EU Arbitration opinion Opinion on the obligation of Iceland under the Deposit Guarantee Directive 94/19/EC
- EC Directive 94/19/EC Directive 94/19/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 1994 on deposit-guarantee schemes
- Elvira Méndez Pinedo The Icesave agreements and other national measures in response of the financial crisis
- UK Anti-terror Act Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act 2001
- Directive 2000/12/EC Taking up and pursuit of the business of credit institutions
- Directive 2002/47/EC Financial collateral arrangements
AGS (IMF)
- Mark Flanagan - Oct 29, 2009 Transcript of a Conference Call on the Completion of the First Review of Icelands Stand-By Arrangement
- First Review - Oct 2009 Iceland: Staff Report for First Review under Stand-By Arrangement
- Interim Review - Feb 2009 Iceland: Stand-By ArrangementInterim Review Under the Emergency Financing Mechanism
- Staff Report - Dec 2008 Iceland: 2008 Article IV ConsultationStaff Report
- Request Stand-By - Nov 2008 Iceland: Request for Stand-By ArrangementStaff Report
- DV: Leyniskjalið til IMF Leyniskjališ til IMF ķ heild sinni - DV 17. Nóv 2008
Sešlabankinn
- Monetary Bulletin (Q4, 2009) Monetary Bulletin from Sešlabanki (Q4, 2009)
- Gengisskráning - Tímaraðir Gengisskrįning - Tķmarašir ķ Excel
- Icesave Samningarnir Skrifleg umsögn Sešlabanka Ķslands um Icesave-samningana og upplżsingar um greišslubyrši af erlendum lįnum
- Ingimundur - 6. febrúar 2009 Ašdragandi bankahrunsins ķ október 2008 - Ingimundur Frišriksson 6. febrśar 2009
- Minnisblað - 14. nóv. 2009 Minnisblaš Sešlabankans til Fjįrlaganefndar og Efnahags- og skattanefndar Alžingis 14. nóvember 2009
- Peningamál - Nóv 2009 Sešlabankinn - Efnahagshorfur - Nóv 2009
- Peningamál - Maí 2009 Sešlabankinn - Efnahagshorfur - Maķ 2009
Hagstofan
- Þjóðhagsreikningar Žjóšhagsreikningar og opinber fjįrmįl
- Utanríkisverslun - Vöruskipti Hagtölur » Utanrķkisverslun » Vöruskipti
Icesave dispute
- IceSave Email - 21. Júní 2009 Lįra Hanna Blog: Śtifundur og óvęnt heimsókn til rįšherra
- RUV: B&H - 17. feb 2010 RUV: Bresk og hollensk IceSave-sjónarmiš - 17. feb 2010
Landsbanki
- Creditor Meeting Reports Reports and Presentations from Creditor Meetings
- Statement - 10. Oct. 2008 Landsbanki did not transfer funds from the UK to Iceland
- IceSave Terms & Cond. IceSave - Terms and Conditions
- MoneySavingExpert.com Icesave: how safe are your savings? Facts and myths
- Wikipedia - Icesave Wikipedia - Icesave Dispute
- Freezing Order - 8. Oct. 2008 HM Treasury: The Landsbanki Freezing Order 2008
- Iceslave.is Iceslave.is
- Slideshare: Division of Claims Slideshare: The Icesave dispute: Priorities and division of claims
- 2nd Creditors Meeting - Feb 2010 LBI Second Creditors Meeting - Feb 24, 2010
Kaupžing
- Lykiltölur Kaupþings Matthķas Kristiansen - Yfirlit yfir lykiltölur śr glęrupakka Kaupžings Sannleikann upp į boršiš!
- Wikileaks - Kaupthing Kaupthing Confidential exposure of 205 companies - Wikileaks
- Treasury - KSF Decision HM Treasury - Kaupthing Singer & Friedlander - Decision Oct. 8, 2008
- Creditor Information Kaupthing bank - Creditor Information
- Guardian - Kaupthing leaks Confidential Kaupthing corporate loan details leaked on the internet
Hagfręšiįlit
- Þorvaldur Gylfason, HÍ Žorvaldur Gylfason, Professor of Economics, University of Iceland
- Jón Steinsson, Columbia Univ. Jón Steinsson, Columbia University
- Gunnar Tómasson - Ákall Greišslufall žjóšarbśsins veršur vart umflśiš
- Jón Daníelsson, LSE Jón Danķelsson, LSE - greinar og fylgiskjöl
- Kári Sigurðsson - 23. Júlí 2009 Hvaš vakir fyrir Sešlabankanum?
Jón Danķelsson
- Vox - 12. Nov 2008 The first casualty of the crisis: Iceland - Vox 12. Nov 2008
- Morgunblaðið - 30. Júní 2009 Žennan samning veršur aš fella - Morgunblašiš - 30. Jśnķ 2009
- Morgunblaðið - 11. Júlí 2009 Mistök ķslensku samninganefndarinnar - Morgunblašiš 11. Jślķ 2009
- English version - July 11, 2009 The mistakes of the Icelandic negotiating team - English version - July 11, 2009
- Morgunblaðið - 21. Júlí 2009 Er rķkisstjórnin aš gera samskonar mistök og śtrįsarvķkingarnir? - Morgunblašiš 21. Jślķ 2009
- Morgunblaðið - 15. Jan. 2010 Įhęttunni af Icesave veršur ekki eytt eftir į - Morgunblašiš 15. Jan. 2010
- CEPR - January 2010 The Saga of Icesave - CEPR Policy Insight No. 44 - January 2010
- FT Econ: Potential Solution? Financial Times Economists Forum - Icesave: A potential solution? - Feb 9, 2010
Erlendir hagfręšingar
- Joseph Stiglitz - Nov 2001 Joseph Stiglitz: Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Small Open Economies: The Case of Iceland
- James K Jackson - Nov 20, 2008 CRS Report for Congress: Iceland“s Financial Crisis - James K Jackson - Nov 20, 2008
- Anna Siebert - 13. Feb 2010 The Icesave dispute - Anna Siebert - 13. Feb 2010
Willem H. Buiter
- FT Maverecon - Oct 7, 2008 Time for Icelands authorities to pull the plug on their banks - FT Maverecon Oct 2008
- CEPR - October 2008 The Icelandic banking crisis and what to do about it - CEPR October 2008
- Vox - 30. October 2008 The collapse of Icelands banks - Vox 30. October 2008
- FT Maverecon - Nov 13, 2008 How likely is a sterling crisis or: is London really Reykjavik-on-Thames? - FT Maverecon Nov 2008
Lögfręšiįlit
- Mishcon de Reya Advice in relation to the Icesave Agreement - Mishcon de Reya - Des 2009
- Peter Paul - Case C-222/02 Case C-222/02 Peter Paul and Others v Bundesrepublik Deutschland - 12 Oct. 2004
Erlendar skżrslur
- Treasury - Banking Crisis House of Commons Treasury Committee - Banking Crisis
- Kaarlo Jännäri Report The Kaarlo Jännäri Report on Banking Regulation and Supervision in Iceland
- Banque de France - 2000 Report The functions and organisation of deposit guarantee schemes: the French experience
- Bank of England - Deposit Insurance Centre for Central Banking Studies - Deposit Insurance
- UK Report April 2009 - HC 402 UK House of Commons Report April 2009 - Banking Crisis: The impact of the failure of the Icelandic banks
- UK Report June 2009 - HC 656 UK House of Commons Report June 2009 - Banking Crisis: The impact of the failure of the Icelandic banks
- Iceland: Geyser crisis Danske Bank - Iceland: Geyser crisis - March 21, 2006
Erlendar blašagreinar
- Eva Joly - August 2009 Iceland: Lessons to be Learned from The Economic Meltdown
- Guardian - 7. Jan 2010 Failed bank's assets may pay Icesave bill
- Times - Bronwen Maddox Iceland says “Cant pay, wont pay and it is right
- City A.M. - Allister Heath Iceland sees the first anti-bailout revolt
- SKY News - June 26, 2009 We Pay? No Way: Icelanders Turn Up Heat
- Guardian - Sept 4, 2009 The Lehman Brothers collapse: the global fallout - Guardian Sept 4, 2009
- Economist: Cracks in the crust Economist.com - Iceland: Cracks in the crust - Dec 11, 2008
- CNN Money - Dec 4, 2008 Iceland: The country that became a hedge fund - CNN Money Dec 4, 2008
- Guardian - Apr 17, 2008 Iceland first to feel the blast of global cooling - Guardian Apr 17, 2008
- Telegraph - Feb 6, 2009 Iceland: downfall of 'a foolish little nation' - Telegraph Feb 6, 2009
- Forbes - June 26, 2008 Icelandic Meltdown - Forbes June 26, 2008
- The Atlantic - May 2009 The Quiet Coup - The Atlantic May 2009
- Guardian - May 18, 2008 No wonder Iceland has the happiest people on earth - Guardian May 18, 2008
- Guardian - Feb 9, 2009 Iceland's Vikings face a long winter - Simon Bowers Guardian Feb 9, 2009
- TimesOnline - Dec 14, 2008 Iceland: frozen assets - AA Gill TimesOnline - Dec 14, 2008
Erlendar greinar Ķslendinga
- Forbes - Ársæll Valfells Morally Repugnant : Britain and the Netherlands bully little Iceland.
- Indepedent Icelandic News Icesave and the collapse of EU regulations
- Iceland and EU - Jón Baldvin JIceland and the EU: the road ahead - Jón Baldvin Hannibalsson - 10 Oct. 2009
- Aftenposten.no - Þórólfur Aftenposten.no: Et nei vil koste Island dyrt - Žórólfur Matthiasson
- Interview Gunnar Tómasson Mises.org: The End of Mainstream Economics: An Interview with Gunnar Tómasson - March 25, 2009
Innlendar blašagreinar
- MBL - Davíð Oddson MBL - Davķš Oddsson - Gerši ekki kröfu um greišslu - 14. Jślķ 2009
- MBL - Rússalán MBL: Rśssalįn innan seilingar - 20. Sep. 2009
- NewsFrettir - Arni Newsfrettir - Arni was on the defence - July 1, 2009
- Jón Steinsson - 5. Des 2008 Óhagkvęmni eša spilling - Jón Steinsson - 5. Des 2008
- Jón Steinsson - 27. Nóv 2008 Ķslensk spilling: Višskipti tengdra ašila - Jón Steinsson - 27. Nóv 2008
- Morgunblaðið - 2. júlí 2009 Vextir og afborganir rķkissjóšs nema hundrušum milljarša - Morgunblašiš - 2. jślķ 2009
- Haraldur Haraldsson - 16 jan 2009 Öržjóš į krossgötum - Haraldur L. Hardaldsson, Vķsir 16. jan 2009
- Ólafur Arnarson - 22 maí 2009 Hvernig varš Sešlabankinn gjaldžrota? - Pressuśttekt Ólafs Arnarsonar - 22 maķ 2009
- Kristrún Heimisdóttir - 6. feb 2010 Góšar fréttir af Icesave - Kristrśn Heimisdóttir - Fréttablašiš 6. feb 2010
Financial Times
- Fitch Ratings - Paul Rawkins Icelands external financial support has been put at risk
- Martin Wolf - Jan 2010 Economist Forum: How the Icelandic saga should end
- Richard Portes - Oct 13, 2008 The shocking errors behind Iceland's meltdown - Richard Portes FT - Oct 13, 2008
Bloomberg
- Omar Vald. - 18. Sep. 2009 Iceland Expects IMF Review This Month as Icesave Is Resolved
- Jóhanna Sig. - 29. Sep. 2009 Iceland Cant Wait for IMF Review, Funds, Sigurdardottir Says
Sjónvarpsvištöl
- Skjár Einn - Davíð Oddsson Skjįr Einn - Mįlefniš - Davķš Oddsson vištal
- Fitch Ratings - Paul Rawkins Fitch's Rawkins Says Iceland's Debt Downgraded to Junk
- BBC News - Indefence Iceland petition against pay-out over Icesave
- William K. Black - Bill Moyers Interview with William K. Black by Bill Moyers - April 2009
Erlendir fyrirlesarar
- John Perkins - Reykjavik Univ. John Perkins speaking at the Reykjavik University
- William K. Black - Fyrirlestur William Black - Fyrirlestur į vegum Višskiptadeildar HĶ - 11. maķ 2009
- Joseph Stiglitz - Sep 14, 2009 Joseph Stiglitz At The University Of Iceland (VIDEO) -- Sep 14, 2009
YouTube
- Hans Farmand - Norway To The People Of Iceland - Say NO! To Icesave
- John Perkins - Silfur Egils Dreamland - Economic Hitman - Send the IMF packing!
- Money as Debt Paul Grignon's Money as Debt video
Bękur
Bękur
-
Gušni Th. Jóhannesson: Hruniš: Ķsland į barmi gjaldžrots og upplausnar (ISBN: 978-9935-11-063-3) -
Ólafur Arnarson: Sofandi aš feigšarósi (ISBN: 978-9935-11-061-9) -
Įsgeir Jónsson : Why Iceland?: How One of the World's Smallest Countries Became the Meltdown's Biggest Casualty (ISBN: 978-0071-63-284-3) -
Paul Krugman: The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008 (ISBN: 978-0393-33-780-8) -
William Bonner, Addison Wiggin: Empire of Debt (ISBN: 978-0471-73-902-9)
Athugasemdir
Kosturinn viš suma ķ liši VG er aš žeir standa viš orš sķn. Vonandi er hęgt aš finna leiš til aš hafna Icesave allfariš, en ég er samt hręddur um aš fariš verši ESB leišina og frumvarpiš endurtekiš žangaš til žaš veršur samžykkt. Žaš finnst mér vera sóun į dżrmętum tķma.
Offari, 1.11.2009 kl. 14:06
Žegar stašiš er frammi fyrir tveimur slęmum kostum, žį er rétt aš velja skįrri kostinn og aš hafa kjark til žess.
Getur ekki reynsla žķn ķ "bestun į sviši ašgeršargreiningar"hjįlpaš til viš aš gera sér grein fyrir afleišingunum af žvķ aš fella frumvarpiš?
magnus (IP-tala skrįš) 1.11.2009 kl. 14:14
Magnus - ž.e. kjarni mįlsins. En, hvor er skįrri kosturinn, ķ žķnum augum?
Rķkisstjórnin og stušningsmenn hennar, hafa eina skošun. Meirihluti žjóšarinnar, og andstašan - ašra.
Kv.
Einar Björn Bjarnason, 1.11.2009 kl. 15:28
Ég hef nś ašallega veriš aš nota bakgrunn minn (ašgeršargreininguna), til aš reyna aš sjį til žess aš viš séum allavega aš vinna meš "réttar" tölur og śtreikninga. :-)
En žaš mį halda žessu įfram og nota sķšan leikjafręši (game theory) til aš reyna aš meta nęstu skref:
a) Nżtt frumvarp um IceSave samning samžykkt
- Allt lķtur vel śt nęstu įrin žar til skuldažol Ķslands bregst
b) Nżtt frumvarp um IceSave samning fellt
c) Sest aftur aš samningaboršinu
e) Reynt aš laga fyrirvarana upp į nżtt
- Fer enn aftur fyrir žing
f) Endursamiš frį grunni
- T.d. lęgri vextir og Ragnar Hall įkvęšiš gegn eftirgjöf į öšrum kröfum B&H?
g) Samningar takast ekki
- Upprunalegi IceSave samningurinn felldur af B&H (sjį d).
d) IceSave samningurinn felldur af Bretum og Hollendingum
h) B&H lögsękja ķslenka rķkiš fyrir ķslenskum dómstólum
- Gera lķklega kröfu um aš ekki sé mismunaš eftir žjóšerni og reyna aš fella neyšarlögin. Dęmt eftir ķslenskum lögum.
i) B&H lögsękja ķslenska rķkiš fyrir evrópskum dómstólum
- Sömu kröfur og h), en lķklega frekar mišaš viš evrópsk lög og lagatślkanir
j) B&H įkveša aš fresta mįlinu og gera ķ stašin kröfur beint ķ žrotabśiš
- Hiš besta mįl fyrir okkur, en žvķ mišur frekar ólķklegt.
k) B&H halda įfram aš beita EB/AGS sem kśgun į Ķsland til aš gefast upp og borga allt sem krafist er.
- Mjög lķklegt aš žessu haldi įfram žar til samningar takast aš lokum.
Žaš vęri gott ef viš gętum sett inn raunverulegar prósentur og reiknaš śt hver besta śtkoman vęri, en žaš eru einfaldlega allt of margar óžekktar stęršir ķ žessu, til aš žaš sé raunhęft.
Bjarni Kristjįnsson, 1.11.2009 kl. 17:41
Gylfi Magnśsson, višurkenndi ķ sķšustu viku, aš lįnin frį Noršurlöndunum, verši lķklega aš einhverju leiti, notuš til aš standa straum af afborgunum af öšrum lįnum - sérstaklega, eins mjög stór afborgun įriš 2011.
Žannig, geta mįl sannarlega flotiš um hrķš, žangaš til aš peningurinn er bśinn. En, ef öllum tilraunum til aš verja krónuna er sleppt - er jafnvel ekki śtilokaš, aš hęgt vęri aš treyna žetta fé, śt kjörtķmabiliš.
En, horfurnar eru slęmar, um framhaldiš:
Ergo, horfur um hagvöxt eru dökkar. Ķ žessu samhengi, hljómar žaš mjög ólķklegt, aš ofurbjartsżn hagspį rķkisstjórnarinnar frį žvķ ķ sumar, komi til meš aš rętast. Skżrsla Hagfręši Stofnunar HĶ, var sennilega nęr lagi, en žar var spįš ķ kringum 2% mešalhagvöxt. En, žeir višurkenndu, aš žeir vęru ekki bśnir aš reikna fyllilega inn ķ spį sķna, ķmis neikvęš įhrif į hagvöxt af śtbreiddri skuldabyrši.
Svo, aš jafnvel tölur um 2% mešalhagvöxt, eru lķklega heldur bjartsżnar. Milli 1 og 2%, er nęr lagi.
Helsti sénsinn, til aš nį fram hagvexti umfram žetta, liggur žį ķ erlendri fjįrfestingu og feršamennsku. Žaš eru aušvitaš, allnokkur fjöldi fjįrfestinga verkefna, er gętu komist į koppinn. Og, ef helmingur žeirra gerir žaš, žį vęri hęgt aš bęta aftur viš hagvaxtar-horfur.
En, ķ žessu samhengi, veršur rķkisstjórnin aš fara varlega, ķ innleišingu nżrra skatta, ž.s. raunveruleg hętta er į aš drepa gullgęsina, jafnvel įšur en hśn er farin aš verpa gulleggjum.
Kv.
Einar Björn Bjarnason, 1.11.2009 kl. 20:07
Sęll, eins og sérš ef žś skošar mķna sķšu į ég enga vini. Žaš er pólitķk af minni hįlfu. Takk fyrir bošiš. BB
Björn Birgisson, 1.11.2009 kl. 20:45
Žaš fer įvallt ķ taugarnar į stjórnmįlamönnum ef aš hjaršešlisfręši žeirra er stofnaš ķ hęttu.
Sjįlfstęšar skošanir eru hęttulegar og geta hreinlega leitt til annara nišurstašna en óskaš er eftir.
Ellert Jślķusson, 3.11.2009 kl. 16:03
Bęta viš athugasemd [Innskrįning]
Ekki er lengur hęgt aš skrifa athugasemdir viš fęrsluna, žar sem tķmamörk į athugasemdir eru lišin.